Who Will Be President 2024 Predictit. 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. As of the end of july 2024, assuming a biden gallup approval score of 40 percent and a continued rate of jobs growth between 1 and 2 percent, the model predicts.
Two weeks ago predictit, a political betting market, signalled that mr biden was more likely than not to be replaced. The predictit charts show the state of each market on predictit with data updated every 60.
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